PI
Paysign, Inc. (PAYS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record revenue of $19.08M (+33.1% YoY) with gross margin expanding to 61.6%; pharma patient affordability drove growth (+189.9% YoY) while plasma declined 4.7% YoY amidst industry oversupply .
- Against S&P Global consensus, revenue was a modest beat while EPS was a miss: Revenue $19.08M vs $18.73M consensus; EPS $0.02 vs $0.035 consensus. Q1 was a beat on both metrics; Q4 was in line/slight beat. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Full-year 2025 guidance raised: revenue to $76.5–$78.5M; adjusted EBITDA to $18–$20M; gross margin trimmed to 61–62% given mix and new contact center; Q3 guidance set at revenue $19.5–$20.5M and adj. EBITDA $4.5–$5.0M .
- Catalysts: accelerating pharma program onboarding (30–40 more expected in 2H), plasma center additions (132 awarded; 123 live in June), SaaS donor engagement stack launch, and new contact center scaling (fourfold capacity) supporting growth and service differentiation .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Pharma patient affordability revenue surged 190% YoY to $7.75M; revenue per program rose to $79,937 (+83% YoY), with 97 active programs and >80% YoY growth in claims processed .
- Gross margin expanded 870 bps YoY to 61.6%, reflecting mix shift to pharma and stable plasma margins despite onboarding costs; adjusted EBITDA doubled to $4.51M .
- Management pipeline confidence and technology differentiation: “One of our biggest differentiators…dynamic business rules technology…helping manufacturers and patients overcome tactics used by co‑pay maximizers” (CEO) .
What Went Wrong
- Plasma revenue declined 4.7% YoY to $10.74M with average monthly revenue per center down to $7,098 amid oversupply and increased collection efficiencies; gross dollar loads and spend were down 3.7% and 6.3% YoY .
- EPS missed consensus due to upfront costs (~$300K) from rapid onboarding of 123 plasma centers late in the quarter and higher expense investments (SG&A +36.2%) to scale operations .
- Guidance gross margin trimmed to 61–62% for FY25, with Q3 GM ~59% given higher plasma mix and startup costs from the new patient services contact center .
Financial Results
Actuals vs Wall Street consensus (S&P Global):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment revenue breakdown:
KPIs and operational metrics:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We reported record revenue of $19.1 million…gross margins…61.6%…we doubled adjusted EBITDA to $4.5 million…nearly doubled net income to $1.4 million.” — Mark Newcomer, CEO .
- “One of our biggest differentiators…our proprietary dynamic business rules technology…helping manufacturers and patients overcome tactics used by co‑pay maximizers…” — Mark Newcomer, CEO .
- “We are raising our revenue guidance to be in the range of $76.5 million to $78.5 million…Adjusted EBITDA…$18.0 million to $20.0 million…diluted share count…57.5 million.” — Jeff Baker, CFO .
- “We exited the quarter with $11.8 million in unrestricted cash and zero debt…annual cash cost savings…at the high end of $4.0–$5.0 million.” — Jeff Baker, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Pharma onboarding mix: 30–40 programs expected in 2H 2025, roughly split between new clients and expansions; leaning toward transition programs that ramp faster .
- Plasma center cadence: 10–14 centers to be added in 2H including the nine already live in July; closures of 22 underperforming centers expected to redirect donors to nearby centers, mitigating impact .
- Donor management system timing: Targeting FDA approval toward year-end .
- Contact center cost impact: ~$60K/month facility cost plus headcount ramp; viewed as necessary capability to win and service pharma programs at high quality standards .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: Revenue beat and EPS miss vs consensus; FY guidance raised for revenue and adjusted EBITDA suggesting upward pressure on Street revenue/EBITDA estimates and potential EPS recalibration given margin mix and startup costs .
- Q1 2025: Strong beats on both revenue and EPS, indicating sustained positive estimate revisions momentum in H1 .
- Q4 2024: In-line to slight beat dynamics; the Street may have underestimated the inflection from pharma programs and subsequent Gamma integration benefits .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Pharma patient affordability is the core growth engine; momentum and program adds support multi-quarter revenue visibility and margin resilience despite plasma headwinds .
- Plasma business positioned for recovery leverage: 132 centers transitioned, share ~50%; donor retention strategy around closures should cushion near-term impact; scenario improves into 2026 .
- Technology stack and contact center capacity are strategic moats for winning larger, complex pharma programs and elevating margins via value-added services (DBR, SaaS) .
- FY25 guidance upgrades (revenue, adjusted EBITDA) are constructive; watch near-term gross margin mix (Q3 ~59%) with higher plasma contribution and contact center startup costs .
- Near-term trading: potential positive bias on revenue/EBITDA revisions; EPS optics may lag due to investment cadence and mix—focus on cash generation, adjusted EBITDA scaling and pipeline conversion .
- Medium-term thesis: diversified healthcare fintech with expanding SaaS capabilities and scale economics; plasma cyclicality becomes a call-option on recovery while pharma underpins growth .
- Monitor FDA approval timing for donor management system and execution on 30–40 pharma programs; these are tangible catalysts for valuation re-rating .